Widespread coronavirus-related lockdowns and general economic downturn have had an unprecedented effect on global air traffic, which is projected to be down 55% in 2020. Writing in Aerotime, Julyana Yokota, Senior Director, Infrastructure, at S&P Global Ratings, takes a look at the implications for the global airport sector.
While airports generally enjoy stronger liquidity positions than airlines, they are now facing significant credit stress – especially given the uncertainty surrounding aeronautical revenue. With aviation charges likely to be lower due to a weakened airline sector, airports must make an effort to diversify their revenue streams. Some level of structural change in the airport sector is inevitable, however the asset class’ infrastructural significance is means it is likely to survive the turbulent times ahead.
The full article can be found here.
Writing in Infrastructure Investor‘s August edition, S&P Global Ratings’ Trevor D’Olier-Lees, Senior Director, Infrastructure, North America and Dhaval Shah, Director, North America, discuss the way in which domestic and international bans on travel have dealt an unprecedented blow to both traffic levels and P3 toll roads’ revenues in North America.
Certainly, the region’s toll roads have been heavily affected by the pandemic-related lockdown, coming under significant pressure from a credit perspective. Despite this, the impact has been less severe when compared with other transportation assets and, based on the current trajectory, a full recovery is expected – though the time it will take to reach this remains uncertain and will vary from region to region.
The full story in Infrastructure Investor may be found here, or on page 36 of the August print edition.
Across the globe, political uncertainty is increasingly becoming the rule rather than the exception. Meanwhile, trade tensions continue to define relationships between major players – such as China the U.S. and Europe. Both factors may induce caution among infrastructure investors.
Writing for Institutional Investing in Infrastructure, S&P Global Ratings’ Karl Nietvelt, Head of Research in Global Infrastructure, agrees that geopolitical events are influencing the market.
Indeed, infrastructure is “an asset class with typically lengthy lifespans that, therefore, beneﬁts from political and regulatory calm,” according to Nietvelt. Yet today’s uncertain political climate, underpinned by elections in 2019, could dampen market confidence.
Another influential trend is the rising impact of environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns throughout the infrastructure sector. Organisations prioritising these issues “have achieved reduced costs, mitigated risk potential, and created revenue-generating opportunities,” continues Nietvelt.
Read the full article in Institutional Investing in Infrastructure here.
According to S&P Global Ratings, the long-term investment prospects for U.K. water companies remain adequate despite the forthcoming introduction of AMP7 from April 2020.
While many industry professionals perceived the U.K regulator Ofwat as taking a tougher stance on water companies, director for EMEA Utilities at S&P, Matan Benjamin, recently told Utility Week that the new targets reflect the “requests of society” on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns.
Benjamin says: “This remains a strong industry. On the one hand, things are becoming more challenging for [water] companies because the regulator aims to make them work more efficiently. But that efficiency is good for society.”
Read the full article here.
In a challenge to the traditional power market model, large corporations are increasingly entering long-term contracts to buy power directly from energy producers – rather than from utilities. While these arrangements – known as corporate power purchase agreements (PPAs) – could pose new risks for producers and consumers, these should be largely manageable, says Trevor d’Olier-Lees, S&P Global Ratings’ senior director, Infrastructure North America.
Commenting on the model’s increasing uptake in an interview with Power Technology, D’Olier-Lees says: “Given the strong demand from corporate corporations to buy renewable power, [this model] will continue to grow. And there’s always innovation around mitigation.”
Read the article in Power Technology here.
A recent report by S&P Global Ratings has concluded that growing competition from cheap renewable electricity, safety concerns, and rising costs of new plants are slowly undermining the viability of nuclear power.
“We see little economic rationale for new nuclear builds in the U.S. or Western Europe, owing to massive cost escalations and renewables cost-competitiveness, which should lead to a material decline in nuclear generation by 2040,” said Elena Anankina, the report’s author.
Despite these challenges, however, nuclear still has its role to play in the energy mix – largely due to the continual development of new nuclear capacity in Russia and China, supported by energy policies and significantly lower construction costs. Moreover, with regions such as Europe installing more intermittent sources, nuclear is playing a crucial role in ensuring grid stability.
Following outreach by Moorgate, news of the report was covered by Republic World, Stockhead here and here, NucNet, IREI, Euractiv, ESI Africa, Power Engineering International, and World Nuclear News.
S&P Global Ratings recently scored a proposed C$750 million issuance from public-private partnership (PPP) Mobilinx Hurontario General Partnership E1/87 under its Green Evaluation.
The E1/87 score represents the highest on the Green Evaluation E1-E4 scale, and comprises a Governance score of 83, Transparency score of 77, and a Mitigation score of 91.
As well as being the first Green Evaluation in Canada, the score also marks S&P Global Ratings’ first Green Evaluation on a PPP.
Proceeds will be used to design, build, finance, operate, maintain and rehabilitate the Hurontario Light Rail Transit (LRT) project in Ontario, Canada.
Following outreach by Moorgate, the Green Evaluation was covered by: IJGlobal, Proximo, and InfraNews.
S&P Global Ratings recently announced Pablo Lutereau as its new Head of Infrastructure and Project Finance in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) region.
Following the news of his appointment, Mr. Lutereau said, “Infrastructure plays a critical role in EMEA’s economic growth and development in terms of social well-being. As such, I’m very pleased to start the next chapter of my S&P Global Ratings career within the dedicated EMEA team and look forward to building upon our 25-year history of assessing transactions in this market.”
Lutereau moves from S&P Global Ratings’ Buenos Aires office, where he was Head of Infrastructure & Utilities in Latin America. He will start his new role in January 2020 and will be based in Madrid.
Following Moorgate’s outreach, the news was covered by TXF, IJGlobal, PFI, Proximo and Partnerships Bulletin.
In its recent report, S&P Global Ratings indicated that a no-deal Brexit could result in the downgrade of half of the 41 publicly rated U.K. social housing associations (HAs) in its portfolio by one notch. Particularly vulnerable are those ratings on providers that either depend on proceeds from market sales or receive extraordinary support from their related government.
Following outreach by Moorgate, the report was covered by Inside Housing, Social Housing, and Housing Today.
There could be turbulence ahead for ADP, France’s largest airport operator. A weakening economic environment could weigh on ADP’s credit quality during a period of significant international expansion. What’s more, ADP’s possible privatisation – despite being on hold pending a referendum – carries significant risks (should a change in ownership occur).
Writing for International Airport Review, Juliana Gallo, director, Infrastructure EMEA, S&P Global Ratings, argues that the many credit strengths in the ADP’s favour could allow the group to manage its heavy capex programme and future acquisitions, while maintaining credit metrics commensurate with an ‘A+’ rating.
Please click here to read the full article.